Título
Probabilistic description of rains and ENSO phenomenon in a coffee farm area in Veracruz, México
Autor
Jose Luis Bravo-Cabrera
CARLOS GAY GARCIA
ANA CECILIA CONDE ALVAREZ
FRANCISCO ESTRADA PORRUA
Nivel de Acceso
Acceso Abierto
Referencia de publicación
URL/http://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/8558
Materias
CIENCIAS FÍSICO MATEMÁTICAS Y CIENCIAS DE LA TIERRA - (CTI) Veracruz - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) coffee farms - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) precipitation trends - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) probabilistic forecast - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) enso influence - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) extremeprecipitation values - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236]) - ([Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006), ISSN: 0187-6236])
Resumen o descripción
We have analyzed 37 years of climate data to describe the behavior of the precipitation and its relation with temperature in coffee farm areas in the central part of the state of Veracruz, particularly in the municipalities of Coscomatepec and Huatusco. We analyze the tendencies of the annual averages of the precipitation. Monthly averages of the precipitation are related with monthly averages of the temperature as useful parameters to predict intense rains. Gamma distributions were adjusted to total monthly precipitation to approximate the probability of given intervals. Gumbel distributions were adjusted to daily extreme values for monthly intervals and to monthly extremes for annual intervals. The relation of the precipitation and the El Niño/Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon is analyzed. The influence of ENSO over the precipitation was found to be significant and translated as a reduction of the midsummer drought.
Editor
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera
Fecha de publicación
abril de 2006
Tipo de publicación
Artículo
Versión de la publicación
Versión publicada
Recurso de información
Formato
application/pdf
Fuente
Atmósfera; Vol 19, No 2 (2006)
ISSN: 0187-6236
Idioma
Inglés
Audiencia
Investigadores
Estudiantes
Repositorio Orígen
Repositorio Institucional del Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera de la UNAM
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