Título
Vulnerability of basins and watersheds in Mexico to global climate change
Autor
VICTOR MANUEL MENDOZA CASTRO
ELBA ELSA VILLANUEVA URRUTIA
JULIAN JORGE ADEM CHAHIN
Nivel de Acceso
Acceso Abierto
Identificador alterno
doi: 10.3354/cr009139
Referencia de publicación
URL/http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v09/n1-2/p139-145/
Materias
CIENCIAS FÍSICO MATEMÁTICAS Y CIENCIAS DE LA TIERRA - (CTI) Mexico - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) Thermal balance - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) Hydrological balance - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) Climate change - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) Vulnerability - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) Hidrology - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X]) - ([Climate Research, ISSN: 0936-577X])
Resumen o descripción
Some conclusions on the vulnerability of hydrologic regions in Mexico to future changes in climate can be drawn from the application of regional-scale thermal-hydrological models. Climate changes induced by the doubling of atmospheric CO2 have been predicted for the year 2050 by general circulation models (GCMs) and energy balance models (EBMs). The results obtained suggest that potential changes in air temperature and precipitation may have a dramatic impact on the pattern and magnitude of runoff, on soil moisture and evaporation, as well as on the aridity level of some hydrologic zones of Mexico. However, in other cases climate change is likely to produce a positive effect. Indices were estimated for quantifying the vulnerability of hydrologic regions and of the country as a whole. These vulnerability indices were defined according to criteria previously established for studies of this type. The indices provide information about both the hydrologic zones which are vulnerable even under current climate conditions and others which may be vulnerable to future climate changes.
Editor
Inter Research
Fecha de publicación
29 de diciembre de 1997
Tipo de publicación
Artículo
Versión de la publicación
Versión publicada
Recurso de información
Formato
application/pdf
Fuente
Climate Research
ISSN: 0936-577X
Idioma
Inglés
Audiencia
Investigadores
Estudiantes
Repositorio Orígen
Repositorio Institucional del Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera de la UNAM
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