Título
Spatial analysis and modeling to assess and map current vulnerability to extreme weather events in the Grijalva – Usumacinta watershed, México
Autor
Daniel María López López
Nivel de Acceso
Acceso Abierto
Identificador alterno
doi: 10.1088/1755-1315/8/1/012021
Materias
Resumen o descripción
One of the major concerns over a potential change in climate is that it will cause an increase in extreme weather events. In Mexico, the exposure factors as well as the vulnerability to the extreme weather events have increased during the last three or four decades. In this study spatial analysis and modeling were used to assess and map settlement and crop systems vulnerability to extreme weather events in the Grijalva – Usumacinta watershed. Sensitivity and coping adaptive capacity maps were constructed using decision models; these maps were then combined to produce vulnerability maps. The most vulnerable area in terms of both settlement and crop systems is the highlands, where the sensitivity is high and the adaptive capacity is low. In lowlands, despite the very high sensitivity, the higher adaptive capacity produces only moderate vulnerability. I conclude that spatial analysis and modeling are powerful tools to assess and map vulnerability. These preliminary results can guide the formulation of adaptation policies to an increasing risk of extreme weather events.
Editor
IOP Publishing Ltd
Fecha de publicación
2009
Tipo de publicación
Artículo
Versión de la publicación
Versión publicada
Recurso de información
Formato
application/pdf
Fuente
IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environmental Science 8 (2009) 012021
Idioma
Inglés
Audiencia
Estudiantes
Investigadores
Maestros
Repositorio Orígen
Repositorio Institucional de CENTROGEO
Descargas
248