Título

Landfalling tropical cyclones on the Pacific coast of Mexico: 1850-2010

Autor

Graciela B. Raga

BEATRIZ BRACAMONTES CEBALLOS

LUIS MANUEL FARFAN MOLINA

Rosario Romero-Centeno

Nivel de Acceso

Acceso Abierto

Referencia de publicación

URL/http://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/28630

Resumen o descripción

Historical documents and newspapers from Mexican Pacific states (north of 14º N) were reviewed to determine the incidence of landfalling tropical cyclones from 1850 to 1949, prior to the start of the United States National Hurricane Center database. The reviewed documents are only found in Mexican repositories at national, state and municipal level and the systematic search embarked upon in this study yielded valuable information that cannot be found elsewhere. A time series of landfall was reconstructed back to 1850, indicating active and quiet periods. An average of 1.8 ± 1.6 landfalls per year is determined from the time series for 1850-2010. When the series is limited to 1880-2010, eliminating the first 30 years that may have some undercounting, the average increases to 2.1 ± 1.6 cases per year. Spectral and wavelet analysis of the 161 years of landfalling tropical cyclones indicates that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) modulates the activity. The influence of El Niño/Southern Oscillation(ENSO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on the landfall frequency may be present throughout the reconstruction period but both oscillations have lower correlations compared to that from the PDO.

Editor

Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México. Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera

Fecha de publicación

abril de 2013

Tipo de publicación

Artículo

Versión de la publicación

Versión publicada

Formato

application/pdf

Fuente

Atmósfera Vol 26, No 2 (2013)

ISSN: 0187-6236

Idioma

Inglés

Audiencia

Investigadores

Estudiantes

Repositorio Orígen

Repositorio Institucional del Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera de la UNAM

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