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Review of Nationally Determined Contributions (NCD) of Kenya from the perspective of food systems

Tek Sapkota (2023, [Documento de trabajo])

Agriculture is one of the fundamental pillars of the 2022–2027 Bottom-up Economic Transformation Plan of the Government of Kenya for tackling complex domestic and global challenges. Kenya's food system is crucial for climate change mitigation and adaptation. Kenya has prioritized aspects of agriculture, food, and land use as critical sectors for reducing emissions towards achieving Vision 2030's transformation to a low-carbon, climate-resilient development pathway. Kenya's updated NDC, as well as supporting mitigation and adaptation technical analysis reports and other policy documents, has identified an ambitious set of agroecological transformative measures to promote climate-smart agriculture, regenerative approaches, and nature-positive solutions. Kenya is committed to implementing and updating its National Climate Change Action Plans (NCCAPs) to present and achieve the greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets and resilience outcomes that it has identified.

CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CLIMATE CHANGE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS FOOD SYSTEMS LAND USE CHANGE AGRICULTURE POLICIES DATA ANALYSIS FOOD WASTES

Big data, small explanatory and predictive power: Lessons from random forest modeling of on-farm yield variability and implications for data-driven agronomy

Martin van Ittersum (2023, [Artículo])

Context: Collection and analysis of large volumes of on-farm production data are widely seen as key to understanding yield variability among farmers and improving resource-use efficiency. Objective: The aim of this study was to assess the performance of statistical and machine learning methods to explain and predict crop yield across thousands of farmers’ fields in contrasting farming systems worldwide. Methods: A large database of 10,940 field-year combinations from three countries in different stages of agricultural intensification was analyzed. Random effects models were used to partition crop yield variability and random forest models were used to explain and predict crop yield within a cross-validation scheme with data re-sampling over space and time. Results: Yield variability in relative terms was smallest for wheat and barley in the Netherlands and for wheat in Ethiopia, intermediate for rice in the Philippines, and greatest for maize in Ethiopia. Random forest models comprising a total of 87 variables explained a maximum of 65 % of cereal yield variability in the Netherlands and less than 45 % of cereal yield variability in Ethiopia and in the Philippines. Crop management related variables were important to explain and predict cereal yields in Ethiopia, while predictive (i.e., known before the growing season) climatic variables and explanatory (i.e., known during or after the growing season) climatic variables were most important to explain and predict cereal yield variability in the Philippines and in the Netherlands, respectively. Finally, model cross-validation for regions or years not seen during model training reduced the R2 considerably for most crop x country combinations, while for wheat in the Netherlands this was model dependent. Conclusion: Big data from farmers’ fields is useful to explain on-farm yield variability to some extent, but not to predict it across time and space. Significance: The results call for moderate expectations towards big data and machine learning in agronomic studies, particularly for smallholder farms in the tropics where model performance was poorest independently of the variables considered and the cross-validation scheme used.

Model Accuracy Model Precision Linear Mixed Models CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA MACHINE LEARNING SUSTAINABLE INTENSIFICATION BIG DATA YIELDS MODELS AGRONOMY

Review of Nationally Determined Contributions (NCD) of Vietnam from the perspective of food systems

Tek Sapkota (2023, [Documento de trabajo])

Over the past decades, Vietnam has significantly progressed and has transformed from being a food-insecure nation to one of the world’s leading exporters in food commodities, and from one of the world’s poorest countries to a low-middle-income country. The agriculture sector is dominated by rice and plays a vital role in food security, employment, and foreign exchange. Vietnam submitted its updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) in 2022 based on the NDC 2020. There is a significant increase in greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction, towards the long-term goals identified in Vietnam’s National Climate Change Strategy to 2025, and efforts are being made to fulfil the commitments made at COP26. The Agriculture Sector is the second-largest contributor of GHG emissions in Vietnam, accounting for 89.75 MtCO2eq, which was about 31.6 percent of total emissions in 2014. Rice cultivation is the biggest source of emissions in the agriculture sector, accounting for 49.35% of emissions from agriculture. The total GHG removal from Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) in 2014 was -37.54 MtCO2eq, of which the largest part was from the forest land sub-sector (35.61 MtCO2eq), followed by removal from croplands (7.31 MtCO2eq) (MONRE 2019).

CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CLIMATE CHANGE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS FOOD SYSTEMS LAND USE CHANGE AGRICULTURE POLICIES DATA ANALYSIS

Review of Nationally Determined Contributions (NCD) of Colombia from the perspective of food systems

Tek Sapkota (2023, [Documento de trabajo])

Food is a vital component of Colombia's economy. The impact of climate change on agriculture and food security in the country is severe. The effects have resulted in decreased production and in the productivity of agricultural soil. Desertification processes are accelerating and intensifying. Colombia's government formally submitted its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) on December 29, 2020. This paper examines Colombia's NDC from the standpoint of the food system.

CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CLIMATE CHANGE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS FOOD SYSTEMS LAND USE CHANGE AGRICULTURE POLICIES DATA ANALYSIS FOOD WASTES

Monitoreo e Instalación visual de señales a un motor eléctrico de inducción de instalación trifásica de forma jaula de ardilla, mediante la implementación de tecnología industria 4.0

Luis Ricardo Uribe Dávila (2023, [Tesis de maestría])

Vivimos la industria 4.0, misma que no es nueva, ya que sus orígenes se remontan a finales de la década de los 2000, en Alemania. Un pilar de la industria 4.0 es el análisis de datos, conocido como Big Data. El conocer los datos de un proceso, de un estudio, ayuda en gran medida a predecir el comportamiento que tendrá el proceso o la máquina a estudiar en un periodo a corto o mediano plazo. En el presente proyecto se analizan los datos arrojados por un motor eléctrico de corriente alterna, del tipo inducción, jaula de ardilla. El motor está diseñado para trabajar de manera continua, sin embargo, el uso que se le da, es meramente educativo; es decir, no sobre pasa las 15 horas por semana de uso. Mediante la toma de datos de las tres fases de corriente RMS o corriente de valor eficaz que posee el motor eléctrico que se realizará con el microcontrolador Arduino UNO, se analizarán los mismos mediante el software de cómputo numérico MATLAB, ordenando los datos, descartando valores que no aporten información relevante para lograr la predicción de datos. Por último, se llevará a conocer este proyecto a la carrera mecatrónica, área sistemas de manufactura flexible y área automatización, con el fin de que puedan observar de una mejor manera la aplicación y funcionamiento de uno de los pilares de la actual industria 4.0.

We live in industry 4.0, which is not new, since its origins date back to the late 2000s, in Germany. One pillar of industry 4.0 is data analysis, known as Big Data. Knowing the data of a process, of a study, helps greatly to predict the behavior that the process or machine will have to study in a short- or medium-term period. This project analyzes the data released by an electric motor of alternating current, of the type induction, squirrel cage. The engine is designed to work continuously, however, the use given to it is merely educational, that is; only not over spends 15 hours per week of use. By taking data from the three phases of RMS current or effective value current of the electric motor that will be made with the Arduino UNO micro controller, they will be analyzed using MATLAB numerical computing software, ordering the data, discarding values that do not provide relevant information to achieve data prediction. Finally, this project will be presented to the mechatronics career, flexible manufacturing systems area and automation area, so that they can observe in a better way the application and operation of one of the pillars of the current industry 4.0.

Mantenimiento predictivo Regresión lineal Industria 4.0 Big data Corriente RMS Predictive maintenance Linear regression Industry 4.0 Big data RMS Current INGENIERÍA Y TECNOLOGÍA CIENCIAS TECNOLÓGICAS OTRAS ESPECIALIDADES TECNOLÓGICAS OTRAS OTRAS