Evaluación del impacto del cambio climático en la productividad de la agricultura de riego y temporal del estado de Sinaloa

WALDO OJEDA BUSTAMANTE (2010, [Documento de trabajo])

El documento se centra en tres temas: el impacto del cambio climático en la fisiología de los principales cultivos establecidos en el estado de Sinaloa, descripción de los paquetes tecnológicos de los cultivos y su ajuste por impacto del cambio climático, y las acciones de adaptación de la agricultura de Sinaloa al cambio climático. Los resultados obtenidos y la información generada permitirán apoyar a los tomadores de decisiones relacionados con las actividades agrícolas, a considerar los posibles impactos y realizar los ajustes necesarios en las políticas estatales y municipales para responder con congruencia ante las amenazas y oportunidades que resultan del impacto del cambio climático en el sector agrícola Sinaloense.

Agricultura de riego Agricultura de temporal Cambio climático Impacto ambiental Prevención y mitigación Informes de proyectos CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA

Analysis of adoption of conservation agriculture practices in southern Africa: mixed-methods approach

Adane Tufa Hambulo Ngoma Paswel Marenya Christian Thierfelder (2023, [Artículo])

In southern Africa, conservation agriculture (CA) has been promoted to address low agricultural productivity, food insecurity, and land degradation. However, despite significant experimental evidence on the agronomic and economic benefits of CA and large scale investments by the donor community and national governments, adoption rates among smallholders remain below expectation. The main objective of this research project was thus to investigate why previous efforts and investments to scale CA technologies and practices in southern Africa have not led to widespread adoption. The paper applies a multivariate probit model and other methods to survey data from 4,373 households and 278 focus groups to identify the drivers and barriers of CA adoption in Malawi, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. The results show that declining soil fertility is a major constraint to maize production in Zambia and Malawi, and drought/heat is more pronounced in Zimbabwe. We also find gaps between (a) awareness and adoption, (b) training and adoption, and (c) demonstration and adoption rates of CA practices in all three countries. The gaps are much bigger between awareness and adoption and much smaller between hosting demonstration and adoption, suggesting that much of the awareness of CA practices has not translated to greater adoption. Training and demonstrations are better conduits to enhance adoption than mere awareness creation. Therefore, demonstrating the applications and benefits of CA practices is critical for promoting CA practices in all countries. Besides, greater adoption of CA practices requires enhancing farmers’ access to inputs, addressing drudgery associated with CA implementation, enhancing farmers’ technical know-how, and enacting and enforcing community bylaws regarding livestock grazing and wildfires. The paper concludes by discussing the implications for policy and investments in CA promotion.

Adoption Focus Group Discussion CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CONSERVATION AGRICULTURE CLIMATE CHANGE

Chapter 7. The climate–security nexus Securing resilient livelihoods through early warning systems and adaptive safety nets

Peter Läderach Paresh Shirsath Steven Prager (2023, [Capítulo de libro])

CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CLIMATE CHANGE CONFLICTS VULNERABILITY EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS

Genetic improvement of global wheat, including progress for enhancing insect resistance

Leonardo Abdiel Crespo Herrera (2022, [Objeto de congreso])

CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA GENETIC IMPROVEMENT WHEAT BREEDING CLIMATE CHANGE DISEASE RESISTANCE YIELDS

Phenotypic assessment of genetic gain from selection for improved drought tolerance in semi-tropical maize populations

Terence Molnar Somak Dutta Thanda Dhliwayo Samuel Trachsel Michael Lee (2023, [Artículo])

Drought Tolerant Population Topcross Water Deficit CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA DROUGHT TOLERANCE WATER MAIZE CLIMATE CHANGE GENETIC GAIN

User manual: How to use Agvisely to generate climate service advisories for livestock in Bangladesh

T.S Amjath-Babu Timothy Joseph Krupnik (2023, [Libro])

The Agvisely digital service for livestock integrates location-specific meteorological forecasts generated by the Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD) with species specific biological thresholds for weather variables (Temperature, rainfall, and temperature-humidity index (THI). When a biological threshold is to be breached in next five days' forecast, the system automatically generates location-specific management advice for livestock farmers. Advisories are based on a decision tree developed by the Bangladesh Livestock Research Institute (BLRI) and CIMMYT. Agvisely is a smart phone app and web-based service developed by the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) CIMMYT with the support of USAID, securing the Food Systems of Asian Mega- Deltas (AMD) for Climate and Livelihood Resilience and the Transforming Agrifood Systems in South Asia (TAFSSA) initiatives in collaboration with Bangladesh Dept. of Agricultural Extension (DAE) and Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD).

CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CLIMATE SERVICES LIVESTOCK DIGITAL TECHNOLOGY

Redesigning crop varieties to win the race between climate change and food security

Kevin Pixley Jill Cairns Santiago Lopez-Ridaura Chris Ojiewo Baloua Nébié Godfrey Asea Biswanath Das Benoit Joseph Batieno Clare Mukankusi Sarah Hearne Kanwarpal Dhugga Sieglinde Snapp Ernesto Adair Zepeda Villarreal (2023, [Artículo])

Crop Breeding Expert Survey CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CLIMATE CHANGE CROPPING SYSTEMS FOOD SECURITY CROPS

Review of Nationally Determined Contributions (NCD) of Kenya from the perspective of food systems

Tek Sapkota (2023, [Documento de trabajo])

Agriculture is one of the fundamental pillars of the 2022–2027 Bottom-up Economic Transformation Plan of the Government of Kenya for tackling complex domestic and global challenges. Kenya's food system is crucial for climate change mitigation and adaptation. Kenya has prioritized aspects of agriculture, food, and land use as critical sectors for reducing emissions towards achieving Vision 2030's transformation to a low-carbon, climate-resilient development pathway. Kenya's updated NDC, as well as supporting mitigation and adaptation technical analysis reports and other policy documents, has identified an ambitious set of agroecological transformative measures to promote climate-smart agriculture, regenerative approaches, and nature-positive solutions. Kenya is committed to implementing and updating its National Climate Change Action Plans (NCCAPs) to present and achieve the greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets and resilience outcomes that it has identified.

CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CLIMATE CHANGE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS FOOD SYSTEMS LAND USE CHANGE AGRICULTURE POLICIES DATA ANALYSIS FOOD WASTES

Challenging the climate change effects on agriculture: need business unusual

ML JAT (2021, [Objeto de congreso])

CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA CLIMATE CHANGE FOOD SYSTEMS CONSERVATION AGRICULTURE SUSTAINABILITY INNOVATION

Predicción de la evapotranspiración de referencia mediante redes neuronales artificiales

JUAN MANUEL GONZALEZ CAMACHO ROCIO CERVANTES-OSORNIO WALDO OJEDA BUSTAMANTE IRINEO LORENZO LOPEZ CRUZ (2008, [Artículo])

La evapotranspiración de referencia (ETo) es una variable climática esencial para el cálculo de los requerimientos hídricos de los cultivos. Su previsión a corto plazo es importante para programar la distribución de volúmenes de agua en las zonas de riego. En este trabajo se presenta la aplicación de un modelo de Red Neuronal Artificial (RNA) tipo feedforward backpropagation para predecir la ETo a partir de datos diarios de temperatura del aire, radiación solar, humedad relativa y velocidad del viento. La arquitectura adoptada del modelo de RNA contiene cuatro neuronas en la capa intermedia, una neurona en la capa de salida y funciones de activación tangente hiperbólica en ambas capas. Este modelo fue aplicado a un conjunto de datos climáticos con cinco años de observaciones de la red agroclimática “Valle del Fuerte” del distrito de riego 075, localizada en el norte de Sinaloa, México. El algoritmo de entrenamiento supervisado de Levenberg-Marquardt permitió obtener un buen desempeño de la red en términos del error cuadrático medio y del coeficiente de determinación R2 para estimar la ETo en los diferentes escenarios considerados. Las predicciones de las RNA fueron comparadas con las predicciones de modelos de regresión lineal múltiple y lineal por partes; los resultados muestran que ambos modelos presentan niveles de ajuste muy similares a los datos experimentales.

Evapotranspiración Requerimientos de riego Variables climáticas Distritos de riego Regresión no lineal Redes neuronales artificiales CIENCIAS AGROPECUARIAS Y BIOTECNOLOGÍA